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Climate Change - Action Plan 2025-30

 


 

Foreword

Climate change is one of the most pressing challenges of our time, its impacts already being felt across Staffordshire and beyond. Rising temperatures, more frequent extreme weather events, and shifting seasonal patterns are reshaping the way we live, work, and interact with our environment. At Staffordshire County Council we are committed to these challenges, making significant strides in our climate action journey. Since declaring a climate change emergency in 2019, we have reduced our carbon emissions by 52%. However, reducing emissions alone is not enough. We must also prepare for the inevitable changing climate that will affect our communities, infrastructure, and natural environment. This plan outlines how we plan to continue our path to net zero and to build climate change resilience into our services. By proactively identifying risks and opportunities, we can protect lives and livelihoods while fostering a prosperous future for all. Although there are uncertainties around national and international direction, we remain committed to delivering strong actions at a local level. Working with our partners, residents and businesses our actions today will help to shape a safer and more sustainable tomorrow. Together, we can ensure that Staffordshire remains a safe and vibrant place for generations to come.

 


 

Introduction

Staffordshire County Council declared a climate change emergency in 2019 and set a target to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 for directly managed services and properties. Since then, we’ve made good progress in cutting emissions and including climate change in our decision-making processes and plans, while also helping others to take action. Staffordshire County Council seek to continually improve the way we mitigate and manage the impacts associated with climate change. This refreshed plan looks to build on our work towards net zero and introduce more actions to build greater climate change resilience so the county can thrive into the future.

 


 

National and regional context

The UK government released the 25 Year Environment Plan in 2018, setting out the approach for tackling climate change through policies and programmes across all sectors including waste, natural environment, transport and agriculture. The Environmental Improvement Plan (2023) outlines how to deliver the ambitions in the plan and highlighted the UK must be prepared for warming of up to 4ºC as advised by the Climate Change Committee. Our climate change risk assessment and action plan also consider the impacts of such temperature rises. The UK Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA) was published by the Climate Change Committee in 2022. This risk assessment considers 61 UK climate risks and opportunities including health, the natural environment, households and public services. These risks provided the baseline for the Sustainability West Midlands risk assessment and adaptation plan for the West Midlands. The CCRA and West Midland Plan have been used to inform the Staffordshire County Council adaptation risk assessment.

 


 

Staffordshire's changing local climate

Our climate is changing and will continue to increasingly change over the coming decades. Even if rapid cuts to global emissions are achieved, some level of climate change is inevitable this century. We can expect hotter drier summers, milder wetter winters with more extreme weather at all times of year.

Flood risk

Although summers are expected to be drier, the rain that does fall is likely to be more intense, increasing flood risk. Areas of Staffordshire are already at risk of river and surface water flooding and disruption to urban drainage systems. These impacts are likely to become more intense and frequent with climate change. Prolonged periods of rain resulting in saturated ground, followed by intense storms, such as those experienced in 2007, 2012 and 2020 increase the likelihood of flooding. Six out of the ten wettest years have occurred since 1998 (from records dating back to 1862), with UK winters being on average 12% wetter than 1961-1990.

Extreme heat

Staffordshire’s summers are expected to be hotter and drier and with longer duration. Hot weather can impact our buildings, assets and people’s health. We need to consider the impact this will have on our communities and staff, especially the vulnerable. In 2022, temperatures exceeded 40 degrees for the first time. Extreme heat does not impact everyone equally. Some individuals or communities will be more at risk with circumstances impacting people’s ability to cope with, adapt to and recover from extreme heat. The young, elderly and vulnerable can be particularly at increased risk.

Drought

Droughts can impact the environment, businesses and put our water supply at risk. With increasing frequency and severity of heatwaves and summer drought, wildfire risk is also projected to increase which can impact local air quality and damage local wildlife and habitats. The driest summer for 50 years was recorded in 2022 with several wildfires breaking out on Cannock Chase.

 


 

Our approach to climate change

Key themes

Staffordshire County Councils Strategic Development Framework sets out an approach for achieving our net zero ambition and a climate resilient county. The Staffordshire Adaptation Strategy is an agreed joint approach with the counties district and borough councils to work together to build resilience into our services and the local environment. Within these documents a range of objectives have been identified across key themes. These five themes have been applied to the risk assessment and action plan.

 


 

The action plan

The action plan has taken an all-inclusive approach to climate change. It builds on our work towards net zero and introduces actions to build greater climate change resilience so the county can thrive into the future. Our priority actions are outlined below, the full action plan is included in Appendix 1.

Action plan priorities

  • Flood risk management
  • Electric vehicle infrastructure
  • Climate resilient highways and rights of way
  • Supporting community climate action
  • Supporting businesses to a sustainable future
  • Waste reduction
  • Building decarbonisation
  • Tree and woodland expansion
  • Working in partnership
  • Maximising green skills opportunities

Action plan delivery

Governance

Effective climate risk management requires a clear direction, strong leadership and good control mechanisms. Tackling climate change is identified as a priority in the Staffordshire County Council Strategic Plan, ensuring climate change is considered across all services. To assist in driving this commitment, each directorate has an identified senior officer to provide strong leadership and direction to champion and embed our climate change commitments across the organisation

Communications

We know the county council is a trusted source for information, relied upon for our impartiality and honesty. Using our established communications channels/methods we will raise awareness and share information of climate risks, impacts and opportunities. We will also work collaboratively with communities and external organisations to build resilience to climate change and achieve widespread and sustained change

Monitoring and progress

We are committed to monitoring the action plan and track progress. Regular reviews will take place to check actions remain ambitious to keep pace with advancement in technologies and changes to national policies. Our progress is reported each year in the Climate Change Annual Report.

 


 

Climate change risk assessment

Climate change can particularly affect vulnerable groups, including women, children, ethnic minorities, older populations, and those of a lower socioeconomic status or with an underlying health condition. We have completed a detailed risk assessment which identifies 55 climate risks relating to heat, cold, rain and storm events. Our risk assessment considers how all our residents, businesses and visitors could be impacted. It is also important to note, not all impacts associated with climate change should be considered as negative. Positive opportunities can also arise for example increasing tourism opportunities. The risk assessment forms the baseline for identifying the detailed actions for building climate change resilience across the county. The key elements from the risk assessment are summarised below. A full list of the risks is included in Appendix 2.

Critical infrastructure and buildings

  • Flooding of properties
  • Extreme heat causing properties to overheat
  • Conditions causing travel disturbances
  • Energy and water supply during extreme conditions

The local economy

  • Green job opportunities
  • Supply chain disruption
  • Price volatility for materials

Natural environment and green spaces

  • Wildfires
  • Footpath erosion
  • Weather extremes impacting wildlife and habitats

Health, wellbeing and safety

  • Opportunity for increased outdoor recreation
  • Heatstroke
  • Climate change anxiety
  • Social care challenges during extreme conditions

 


 

Programme roadmap

The council has declared a commitment to be net carbon zero by 2050. Whilst our aspirations are high to reduce this as much as possible, we acknowledge we cannot reach net zero without some carbon sequestration or offsetting. This also forms a key role within the plan.

Road map

Our roadmap (Figure 3) shows how we plan to reduce Staffordshire County Council’s emissions. The reduction is based on targets set or being proposed by government as well as expected industry and economic changes. We understand there may be further changes to drive decarbonisation across the energy and transport sectors which could impact our estimated net zero path. We regularly review our roadmap to stay on track for our 2050 target.

(Figure 3) Carbon emissions road map

carbon-emissions-road-map

Source: Figure 3 Staffordshire County Council carbon emissions and estimated projection to net zero carbon.

 


 

Appendix 1: Climate change action plan

Critical infrastructure and buildings

RefCore actionSub actionMitigation /adaptationRisks addressedCo-benefits Target dates
Managing our estate, schools and highways
CIB3.1 Identify opportunities for carbon reduction of the corporate estate Evaluate completed property decarbonisation plans and prioritise actions. Mitigation n/a Enabling:
  • Lower energy bills
  • Improved thermal comfort for occupants
  • Less risk of damp and mould (if retrofitting measures are implemented correctly), leading to improved human health and lower maintenance requirements
  • Increased property values (incl. rental value)
Dec-25
CIB4.1 Keep abreast of climate risks to council properties (e.g.heat, flooding, heat). Complete annual condition surveys and target retrofit and maintenance actions as needed Adaptation I1, I2, I3, H1 Potential benefits include improved environment for staff and service uses ongoing
CIB5.1  Expand renewable generation and battery storage on corporate properties Investigate potential for renewable generation on Enterprise centres and Recycling centres Mitigation n/a Enabling:
  • Lower energy bills
  • Reduced exposure to energy price fluctuations
  • Increased visibility of sustainability initiatives, which could help increase awareness
Dec-25
CIB6.1  Improve energy efficiency of highway infrastructure and equipment Deliver annual traffic signals refurbishment/LED upgrade programme Mitigation n/a Enabling:
  • Lower energy bills
  • Reduced maintenance requirements
ongoing
CIB7.1  Investigate opportunities to reduce/slow runoff on verges Liaise with highways to identify opportunities and partners (at locations) to trial innovative solutions to stormflow management Adaptation I9, I11 Co-benefits depend on measures are adopted, potentially enabling:
  • Reduced damage to infrastructure and physical assets
  • Improved water quality, as reducing runoff can decrease the rate of pollutants entering water bodies &
  • Enhanced public safety
  • Opportunities for habitat restoration
  • Potentially, cost savings in water treatment downstream
  • Green spaces created for stormwater management can act as recreational spaces with benefits to community collaboration and human health and wellbeing
 
Dec-27
CIB8.1  Develop a blueprint for innovative working with schools on flood risk management Secure funding for preliminary research Adaptation I1, H14 Dec-27
CIB9.1  Emissions monitoring Continue to monitor and report the Council’s annual carbon emissions Mitigation n/a   Annual
Waste management
CIB10.1  Develop a Staffordshire Materials Recovery Facility (MRF) to reduce haulage requirements Commission a consultancy report to investigate options available and a business case for the development of a MRF in Staffordshire Mitigation n/a Reduced haulage requirements could enable:
  • Lower energy demand and fuel bills for vehicles
  • Reduced air and noise pollution due to reduced vehicle movements
 
CIB11.1 Investigate options for using closed landfill sites for climate change mitigation or adaptation Identify suitable technologies or changes to land management on closed landfill sites which could assist with climate change objectives Both NE8   Jan-26
Highways    
CIB12.1 Establish a better understanding of the climate change implications of Staffordshire’s highways network Commission work to better understand climate change implications related to the Highway Infrastructure Asset Management Plan (HIAMP). Adaptation I9 - I14   Apr-25
CIB12.2 Evaluate and report the carbon impact of schemes delivered, to inform continual improvement across SCC’s highways and transport portfolio Mitigation n/a   Mar-26
CIB13.1 Integrate the effects of climate change into Highways management Complete a review and implement changes to enhance consideration of climate change into business resilience and operational responses. Both I9 - I14   Apr-26
CIB13.2 Develop a pipeline transport programme through the Local Transport Plan that will be most effective in supporting transport decarbonisation in Staffordshire Mitigation n/a   Mar-26
CIB13.3 Develop and agree a consistent methodology for assessing the whole life carbon of highway and transport schemes at the option appraisal, programming and delivery stages Mitigation n/a   Mar-26
CIB13.4 Develop and agree a process that delivers a coordinated approach to highway works to minimise embodied carbon in scheme delivery Mitigation n/a   Mar-26
CIB14.1 Identify changes required for drainage asset management to accommodate the changing climate Carry out a review and implement changes to drainage asset management and service levels Adaptation I8, I11, I13, I15   Dec-25

 

The local economy

RefCore actionSub actionMitigation/adaptationRisks addressedCo-benefitsTarget date 
Planning and policy
LE1.1a  Ensure climate change and sustainability impacts are considered in decision making. Directorates to ensure that impacts on climate change will be considered and incorporated into business plan templates Both C1   Jan-26
LE1.1b  Both   Jan-26
LE1.1c  Both   Jan-26
LE1.1d  Both   Jan-26
LE1.2 Establish an emissions profile for the council’s procurement Mitigation n/a   Dec-25
LE2.1  Continued liaison with Districts and Boroughs to discuss how planning considerations will include climate change mitigation and adaptation
 
Provide advice to encourage Local plan policies and proposals to have high regard to climate change mitigation and adaptation Mitigation n/a Potential benefits include lower GHG emissions, pollution and material use, land requirements and other resource demands associated with development. Furthermore, there is potential for planning to contribute to greater resilience of communities and physical assets to climate change.
 
Ongoing
LE2.2  Provide sustainable transport accessibility assessments of potential Local Plan site allocations to help ensure that the most sustainable sites are brought forward in Local Plans, in line with National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) Mitigation n/a Ongoing
LE2.3  Agree measurable Travel Plan outcome targets with developers and monitor their delivery  Mitigation n/a Ongoing
LE3.1 Encourage renewable technologies in appropriate locations Review the Staffordshire County Council policy position on renewable generation and identify renewable opportunities Mitigation n/a Potentially enabling:
  • Improved air quality (and public health) due to avoiding fossil fuel combustion
  • Contributing to decarbonisation of the national electricity grid
  • Contributing to greater energy security due to lower reliance on imports
  • Job creation in renewable energy manufacturing, installation and maintenance
  • Greater resilience of the energy system due to more diverse and distributed resource
  • Opportunities for community wealth building e.g. if systems are community owned
Aug-25
LE4.1  Encourage stronger national policy direction and guidance on climate change Respond to relevant consultations Both C1   Ongoing
Business and enterprise
LE5.1 Identify and understand Staffordshire’s net zero skills gaps and explore the levers and opportunities Complete a Staffordshire green skills academy feasibility study Both E2 Job creation in lower carbon sectors Jul-25
LE6.1 Work with businesses to raise awareness and reduce their carbon footprint 30 businesses to complete the Carbon Tracker tool per year Mitigation n/a   Dec-25
LE6.2 Develop an environmental policy template covering mitigation and adaptation considerations for start ups/ SMEs to adopt Both E1, E3, E4, E5   Mar-26
LE6.3 Develop guidance to assist businesses complete a climate change risk assessment Adaptation E1, E3, E4, E5 Supply chain resilience Dec-25
LE7.1 Investigate opportunities for repurposing parts of BT street cabinets when analogue services are withdrawn and the requirement for power is reduced Liaise with BT to identify opportunities to use power from cabinets for alternative use Mitigation n/a Application of circular economy principles Mar-27
LE8.1 Staffordshire Pension fund management to take proactive steps for climate reporting and management of climate-related risks Annual monitoring and reporting on the Staffordshire Climate Change fund against climate change criteria. Both C1   Annual

 


Natural environment and green spaces

RefCore actionSub actionMitigation/adaptationRisks addressedCo-benefitsTarget date 
NE1.1  Deliver proposal for Carbon Zero by Nature Project to sequester carbon through tree planting and land management modifications on Staffordshire County Council land based on completed carbon study. Agree principles and approach through democratic process Both NE8, NE12 Potentially enabling:
  • Improvements in local biodiversity
  • Habitat creation and restoration of unique ecosystems
  • Improvements in soil, air and water quality
  • Reduced flood risk, protecting communities and infrastructure
  • Opportunities for amenity and recreational space, with benefits to human health and wellbeing
  • Employment, training and business opportunities related to nature conservation and management, forestry, ecological restoration and monitoring
   
May-25
NE2.1 Review policies that impact on our management of habitats Review land management policies to consider options to lower carbon intensity, improve resilience of the natural environment and/or improve biodiversity as part of Natural Environment Strategy Both  NE3, NE4, NE8, NE12 Oct-25
NE3.1 Using existing data evaluate potential sites for tree planting to minimise flood risk Evaluate Wildlife Trust data and establish if any suitable pilot sites can be established  Both NE3, NE8 Dec-25
NE4.1 Improve understanding on the condition of peat habit in Cannock Chase National Landscape Complete a condition assessment of peatland habitat Both NE6, NE8 Mar-26
NE5.1 Increase awareness of wildfire risk in Country Parks and Cannock Chase National Landscape Liaise with the communications team to deliver a wildfire risk communications campaign Both NE1
  • Benefits to human health due to risk of injury from fire, avoided air pollution
  • Avoided damage to natural environment
  • Reduced carbon emissions from wildfire incidents
Ongoing seasonal campaigns
NE6.1  Commission research to identify high risk areas of the public rights of way (PROW) network where surface water flooding and other climate impacts may affect PROW and identify potential measures to address Commission study to identify high risk areas, consider different approaches including more resilient specifications, alternative routes, information for users, etc Adaptation NE7 Benefits to health and wellbeing from active travel and accessibility to greenspace Mar-26
NE7.1  Develop an adaptation plan for Cannock Chase National Landscape and contribute to plan for Peak District National Park Authority (PDNPA) Prepare an Adaptation plan for Cannock Chase National Landscape Adaptation NE1 - NE9   Mar-28
NE7.2 Contribute to the development of the adaptation plan for the PDNP Adaptation NE1 - NE9   Mar-28
 NE8.1 Identify an approach to tree and woodland management and creation for Staffordshire Develop a tree and woodland strategy for Staffordshire which considers the opportunities and consequences of climate change Both NE8 As NE1.1 Dec-28

 



Health, wellbeing and safety

RefCore actionSub actionMitigation/adaptationRisks addressed Co-benefitsTarget date
HWS1.1  Provide alerts prior to extreme weather event Deliver targeted communications to care providers via ASC Communications or ASC Incident Management dependent on the severity of extreme weather warnings and events Adaptation H1, H2, H8    Ongoing
HWS2.1  Improve understanding of health impacts and climate change in Staffordshire  Work with partners such as the NHS and UKHSA to understand the changing risk to Staffordshire Adaptation H5   Ongoing
HWS2.2 Raise awareness of tick related diseases on Country Parks and Cannock Chase National Landscape Adaptation H5   Ongoing seasonal campaigns
HWS3.1  Build climate change resilience in communities Work in partnership with local groups to ensure community resilience programmes are in place for areas with greatest need Adaptation I1, I2, H1 - H4   Ongoing

 

Working together

Ref Core actionSub actionMitigation/adaptation Risks addressedCo-benefitsTarget date
Flood risk and water management
WT1.1  Raise awareness and integrate climate adaptation into flood risk management  Develop education initiatives to support people’s awareness of flood risk and their responsibilities in reducing it through personal property management Adaptation I1 As CIB 7.1  Dec-27
WT1.1  Identify projects to reduce surface runoff across catchments and working with a variety of landowners Adaptation I1, NE3, NE6, NE7, NE12 Dec-25
WT2.1  Collaborate with relevant stakeholders to plan for future water needs Engage with water companies and other relevant stakeholder to identify opportunities for greater partnership working Adaptation HI3   Ongoing
Waste management
WT3.1  Reduce waste by 1% year on year Increase the tonnage of waste taken from HWRC sites by charities to redistribute to communities, forming a baseline tonnage to build on in 2026. Mitigation n/a Enabling delivery of Circular Economy principles
 
Apr-26
WT3.2  Complete a business case for the reintroduction of bag splitting on HWRCs Mitigation n/a Jul-25
WT3.3 Complete a composition analysis of waste on HWRCs and consider targeted communications to increase recycling based on results Mitigation n/a Jun-25
WT4.1 Safeguard process identified for staff and visitors for extreme weather Develop a procedure for triggering extreme weather processes on HWRCs Adaptation I16, I1   Jul-25
Travel and transport
WT5.1  Ongoing delivery against targets in the Bus Service Improvement Plan (BSIP) Investigate opportunities for transition and rollout of zero emission buses Mitigation n/a Potentially enabling improved air quality (and public health) due to avoiding fossil fuel combustion  
WT5.2 Annual monitoring of the number of individual bus passenger journeys Mitigation n/a Understanding passenger movements can help to inform service improvement, maximise usage and reduce car journeys  
WT6.1  Maximise efficiency of home to school transport services
 
Shift 25% of users from contracted services to local services Mitigation n/a Potentially enabling:
  • Reductions in air and noise pollution
  • Improvements in human health as a result of the above
  • Lower congestion on the road network
 
Sep-28
WT6.2  Reduce single occupancy taxis to at least 13% Mitigation n/a Apr-25
WT6.3  Develop an app using route mapping and scheduling information to show alternative routes when roads closed due to extreme weather Adaptation I8    Sep-25
WT7.1  Provide real time information for bus services Develop App for buses and school travel information Mitigation n/a Potentially reducing number of private vehicles on road enabling:
  • Reductions in air and noise pollution
  • Improvements in human health as a result of the above
  • Lower congestion on the road network
Sep-25
WT8.1 Reduce the number of pupils travelling to school in private vehicles Better understand the barriers to low carbon travel for school journeys through annual surveys and pupil/ parent data to identify local solutions to increasing active travel Mitigation n/a As WT7.1 Dec-25
WT8.2 Work with Sustrans to deliver a programme of School Streets where there are timed road access restrictions to motorised traffic at the start and end of the school day. The Pilot Phase includes 3 School Streets Mitigation n/a Jul-25
WT8.3 Establish 15 new regular walking bus routes Mitigation n/a Jul-26
WT9.1 Encourage sustainable staff travel Pilot car share App for staff Mitigation n/a Potentially reducing number of private vehicles on road enabling:
  • Reductions in air and noise pollution
  • Improvements in human health as a result of the above
  • Lower congestion on the road network
Sep-26
WT9.2 Present the benefits for a corporate sustainable travel policy Mitigation n/a Dec-25
WT10.1 Ongoing Deliver against objectives of the Local Cycling and Walking Infrastructure Plan (LCWIP) Annual monitoring of available data to show walking and cycling trends Mitigation n/a
  • Health benefits from more active travel
  • Better Safety - A safe and reliable way to travel for short journeys
  • Better Mobility - More people cycling and walking – easy, normal and enjoyable
Dec-25
WT10.2 Deliver active travel schemes through the Highway and Transport Capital Programme Mitigation n/a Ongoing
Community engagement
WT11.1 Community learning programmes to widely incorporate climate change aspects Develop a ‘green leaf’ criteria to be displayed against courses to indicate sustainability elements Both H1, H2   TBC
WT11.2 Incorporate climate change education more widely across course content including mitigation, adaptation and impact on mental health Both     Ongoing
WT12.1 Offer community funding for small scale climate change related projects Offer an annual fund for climate change projects for schools, parish councils and the local community Both I1-I3, NE8, H1 - H4, H12   Apr-26
WT13.1 Reduce waste by 1% year on year Develop external comms campaign to target reuse and zero waste principles – targeting 4000 individual interactions throughout 2025/26.  Mitigation n/a Enabling delivery of Circular Economy principles  Mar-26
WT14.1 Raise awareness of climate change and encourage behavioural change Meet targets outlined in the ‘Sustainability Internal Communications Plan 2025’ in collaboration with the Sustainability Team. Both Theme dependent   Dec-25
WT14.2 Meet targets outlined in the ‘Sustainability External Communications Plan 2025’ in collaboration with the Sustainability Team.  Both Theme dependent   Dec-25
WT14.3 Deliver campaigns that encourage reduced car travel and promote sustainable travel Both H6   Dec-25
WT15.1 Engage with communities to raise awareness and highlight opportunities for local action for waste and climate change Hold a Climate Change & Waste Conference Both Theme dependent   Oct-25
WT16.1 Behaviour change campaigns that encourage reduced car travel and promote sustainable transport Deliver three national campaigns that encourage reduced car travel and promotes sustainable transport  Mitigation n/a   Apr-26
Monitoring and evaluation
WT17.1 Monitor and review action plan progress Monitor plan quarterly and review actions and refresh annually Both n/a   Dec-25

 


 

Appendix 2: The Climate Change Risk Assessment

Projected changes in climate

Table 1 shows the projected changes in climate for Staffordshire for the warming levels of 2 and 4 degree rises relative to 1982-2000 levels and informs the risk assessment. There is also a degree of uncertainty around the change so the 10th and 90th percentiles are also shown to outline the best and worst case scenarios.

Table 1
 Recent past
2001 - 2020
2°C global warming level
(advised to prepare)
4°C global warming level
(advised to assess risk)
TemperatureºCºC changeºC change
Summer maximum temperature 30.5
29.6 to 31.6
3.3
+2.2 to +5.2
6.9
+5.9 to +9.1
Summer average temperature 16.1
15.8 to 16.5
2
+1.4 to +2.6
4.1
+3.6 to +5.0
Winter average temperature 4.2
4.0 to 4.8
1.3
+0.6 to +1.6
2.7
+1.7 to +3.3
Winter minimum temperature -6.6
-7.7 to 5.1
+2.5
+1.7 to +4.4
4.8
+3.7 to +5.9
Annual average temperature 9.9
9.8 to 10.1
1.6
+1.2 to +1.8
3.3
+2.9 to +3.8
 Number of daysNumber of daysNumber of days
Days above 30ºc 2
2 to 3 
4
2 to 6
13
10 to 21
Days above 35ºc 0
0-1
0
0-1
2
2-4
Precipitation%% change% change
Summer precipitation rate  1.98
1.79 to 2.19
-11
-22 to -3
-28
-43 to -21
Winter precipitation rate  2.32
2.13 to 2.67
6
-1 to +15
17
+11 to +25

 

Critical infrastructure and building

Risk codeRisk
(including indirect and interdependency risk)
Opportunity or ThreatUrgency UK CCRA3 definedSCC Risk RatingEstimated future magnitude of mapped CCRA3 risk/opportunity for England
Present day2050
2°c rise by 2100 
2050
4°c rise by 2100 
I1  Damage to council, residential and business properties from flooding T action needed Major  High High High
I2 Damage to council, residential and business properties and building fabric from storms (excluding floods), driving rain, wetter winters and wildfires T action needed Moderate Medium Medium  Medium
 I3 Overheating of properties, infrastructure and mobile libraries during heatwaves. Potential need for increased cooling. T action needed Moderate Low Medium Medium
I4 Milder winters may reduce building heating requirements, cold weather related damage and associated maintenance costs O & T future/ watching brief Minor Low High High
I5 Increased risk of damage to cultural heritage T action needed Moderate Medium Medium High
I6 Risk to digital connectivity from extreme weather conditions (storms, floods, extreme temperatures) T further investigation Major Medium Medium Medium
I7 Utility infrastructure (energy & water supply) damaged/outages by extreme weather (heat, floods, drought, storms) or chronic changes to climate leading to service disruption as well as possible related impacts on other infrastructure systems T action needed Major High  High High
I8 Damage or closures to major road or rail infrastructure from weather related incidents (flooding, tree fall etc)leading to service disruption and impact on communities and businesses T action needed Major High High High
I9  Pavement failure due to more extreme weather and change to freeze thaw cycles T action needed Major Medium High High
I10 Slope and embankment failure along road networks T action needed Major Medium  Medium Medium
I11  Failure of highways structures from flooding, heat and rain. T further investigation Major Medium Medium Medium
I12  Impacts of the changes in timings of seasonal events and more extreme weather for highway maintenance and enhancement works T action needed Major High High High
I13  Changing climate could cause premature failure of highways assets T action needed Major High High High
I14 Milder winters may change highways winter service delivery O/T Not identified in CCRA Moderate not rated by CCRA3
I15 Changing climate impacts on overall management of highways network T action needed Major High High High
I16 Risk of fire at HWRC in waste and recycling skips T Not identified in CCRA Major not rated by CCRA3
I17 Risk to public on HWRCs due to high winds and flooding T Not identified in CCRA Moderate High High High
I18 Rogue traders - taking advantage of consumers damaged homes/property. Pressure selling, mis selling , false / inaccurate claims for goods and services, overcharging.  T Not identified in CCRA Moderate not rated by CCRA3
 
I19 Risks to development, regeneration, maintenance and other construction work due to extreme weather T Not identified in CCRA Major not rated by CCRA3
 

 


Natural environment and green spaces

Risk code Risk
(including indirect and interdependency risk 
Opportunity
or Threat 
Urgency
UK CCRA3
defined 
SCC Risk
Rating 
Estimated future magnitude of mapped CCRA3 risk/opportunity for England
Present
day
2050
2°c rise by 2100
2050
4°c rise by 2100
NE1 Increased frequency of wildfires putting terrestrial species and habitats at risk T action needed Major not rated as wildfires are not covered by their own risk in CCRA3
NE2 Changes in timings of seasonal events and extreme weather has changed the time windows for management maintenance and enhancement work and agricultural production T action needed Major High High High
NE3 Changing climatic conditions and extreme events, including temperature change, water scarcity, flooding, wind, and altered hydrology impacting terrestrial and freshwater species and habitats T action needed Major High High High
NE4 Terrestrial and freshwater species and habitats at risk from pests, pathogens and invasive species T action needed Moderate High High High
NE5 Cycles of drought and wet weather and pests and disease may compromise tree health T action needed Moderate Medium High High
NE6 Damage to soils from seasonal aridity and wetness T action needed Major Medium High High
NE7 Erosion of and other damage to footpaths and associated infrastructure due to storms, fallen trees, drought and other extreme events T action needed Moderate Medium High High
NE8 Opportunities for natural carbon stores, carbon sequestration and natural cooling and flood risk management. Risk to natural carbon stores from climate hazards such as fire, flood, pest and diseases. O&T action needed Major Medium High High
NE9 Opportunities for increased visitors due to drier warmer summers. Increased visitors could also lead to greater land management pressure O further investigation Major Low Medium Medium
NE10 Changes to agricultural productivity from extreme events and the changing climate, including heat, flooding, wildfire, pests, pathogens and diseases.  T action needed Moderate Medium High High
NE11 Animal welfare from severe weather T action needed Moderate Medium High High
NE12 Opportunities for land management, new species, changes to agricultural practices O further investigation Moderate Medium High High

 

Health, wellbeing and safety

Risk code Risk
(including indirect and interdependency risk) 
Opportunity
or Threat
 
Urgency
UK CCRA3
defined
 
SCC Risk
Rating 
Estimated future magnitude of mapped
CCRA3 risk/opportunity for England
  
Present day2050 2°c rise by 21002050 4°c rise by 2100
H1  Excess deaths or heat related illness, especially the vulnerable during heatwaves T action needed Moderate High High High
H2  Extreme cold, damp and mould and associated illness or death especially for those living in fuel poverty. Potential benefits to health from reduced frequency of cold weather. Risks and opportunities from summer and winter household energy demand. T&O action needed Moderate Low High High
H3  Mental health issues from climate related impacts (flood, storm damage, extreme heat etc) and potential risk to life. Potential benefit to mental health from warmer weather and greater opportunities to be in the outdoors. T&O action needed Major High High High
H4  Widening health inequalities from extreme weather conditions and long-term climate change T action needed Moderate Not rated by CCRA3
H5  Greater incidence of vector borne and infectious diseases T action needed Moderate Medium Medium Medium
H6 Risk to health and wellbeing due to changes in indoor and outdoor air quality T further investigation Moderate High Medium Medium
H7  High temperatures and more frequent exposure to heat will increase risk of heat stress and UV exposure, particularly to outdoor and mobile staff. T action needed Moderate High High High
H8  Challenges to delivery of health and social care during extreme weather events T action needed Moderate Medium Medium Medium
H9  Staff responding to extreme weather events such as storms or wildfires are in high risk situations T action needed Moderate Medium Medium Medium
H10 Utility infrastructure damaged by extreme weather leading to service disruption and public health issues (not SCC care homes). T action needed Moderate Medium Medium Medium
H11  Higher temperatures affecting food safety and food borne disease cases. Changing climate could impact food security (local and global supplies) T action needed Major High High High
H12  Drier warmer summers provides greater opportunity to use outdoor spaces T further investigation Moderate Low Low Low
H13  Risks to public water quality and supplies from drought and low river flows T further investigation Moderate Medium Medium Medium
H14 Risks to schools closures and education provision from extreme weather putting pressure on services providing safeguarding and welfare checks T action needed Moderate Medium Medium Medium

 

The local economy

Risk
code 
Risk
(including indirect and interdependency risk) 
Opportunity
or Threat 
Urgency
UK CCRA3 defined
 
SCC Risk
Rating 
Estimated future magnitude of mapped
CCRA3 risk/opportunity for England
Present day2050
2°c rise by 2100
2050 4°c rise by 2100 
E1  Risks and opportunities to businesses from changing weather patterns. O & T further investigation Moderate High High High
E2  Potential skills gap as the demand for Green Economy and Ecosystem Services increases O & T further investigation Major Medium Medium Medium
E3  Reduced employee productivity due to infrastructure disruption and higher or lower temperatures in working environment  T further investigation Moderate Low Medium Medium
E4  Risk and opportunities for business from changes in demands for goods and services O & T further investigation Moderate Medium Medium Medium
E5  Disruption to supply chains, possibly including essential goods such as food and pharmaceuticals T action needed Moderate Medium Rated as unknown in CCRA3
as evidence base is too
uncertain to assess 
E6  Price volatility for materials and commodities, including possible impacts on essentials like food and energy security T action needed Moderate High Medium High
E7  Increased risk to business from water scarcity T further investigation Moderate Low Medium Medium

 


SCC corporate processes and governance

Risk
code  
Risk
(including indirect and interdependency risk) 
Opportunity
or Threat 
Urgency
UK CCRA3 defined 
SCC Risk
Rating   
Estimated future magnitude of mapped
CCRA3 risk/opportunity for England
Present
day
2050
2°c rise by 2100
2050
4°c rise by 2100
E8  Risks to finance, investment and insurance including access to capital for businesses T further investigation Moderate Medium Medium High
C1  Decision making and risk assessment processes do not fully consider climate change implications  T N/A Major not rated by CCRA3  
C2 Risks to finance, investment and insurance including access to capita T future/ watching brief Moderate Medium Medium High

 


 

References

 


 

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