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Demography

Question:
Demography
Answer:

9. Projections for the population of Staffordshire residents with disabilities can be found in table 1. Over the period 2020 to 2040 the total population of Staffordshire residents aged 18 to 64 is predicted to remain roughly static. The population with a moderate to severe learning disability, who are likely to require care and support, is predicted to grow slightly. The population with a moderate or severe personal care disability is predicted to fall slightly. The population of people with an autistic spectrum condition is expected to grow by 9%. 

10. The greatest increase in the number of people with a learning disability is expected to be in the 45-54 age range which is predicted to increase by 171 people (6%) from 2,790 to 2,961. In the same period the number of people aged 55-64 with a learning disability is expected to decrease by 304 individuals (-12%) from 2,856 to 2,552. 

 

 

 Table 1: Disability Population projections for Staffordshire 2020-2040

 20202025203020352040Change 2020 - 2040
General population aged 18-64 

517,600

520,400

519,300

518,000

521,300

1%

General population aged 65 +

194,800

209,700

229,800

247,500

257,000

32%

Population aged 18 - 64 with a learning disability

12,562

12,640

12,650

12,660

12,759

1.50%

Population aged 65+ with a learning disability

4,077

4,370

4,790

5,194

5,413

33%

Population aged 18 - 64 with a moderate or severe learning disability

2,856

2,880

2,900

2,910

2,936

3%

Population aged 65+ with a moderate or severe learning disability

546

575

628

678

690

26%

People aged 18 - 64 with a learning disability and challenging behaviour

233

234

234

233

235

0.90%

Population aged 18 and over with autistic spectrum disorders

7,042

7,208

7,392

7,553

7,681

9.10%

aged 18 - 64 predicted to have a moderate personal care disability

21,700

22,000

21,600

20,900

21,000

-3%

aged 18 - 64 predicted to have a severe personal care disability

4,700

4,800

4,700

4,600

4,600

-2%

 Source: www.pansi.org.uk version 14.2 and www.poppi.org.uk version 14.2. 

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